C rd Thursday, Alassane Ouattara, President Elect of the Ivory Coast gave a press conference. In the current interregnum marked violence by supporters of Laurent Gbagbo and mercenaries, and while the attempts at mediation does not seem to be working, his speech was expected. The challenge: to know its position, the concessions would be willing to do as well as planned developments.
The position of President Ouattara.
If Laurent Gbagbo President considers it with due observance of the Ivorian constitution, as it tries to convince the world without success, Alassane Ouattara demand the immediate departure of his predecessor.
For the president-elect, the Ivorian constitution was not respected because the Constitutional Council has not complied with the results that have been transmitted. The invalidation of the results in 5 counties in North and East of the country for fraud was carried out with total prefects' reports stating that the election would have gone well. Moreover, these operations have been validated by the ICC (integrated command center of Côte d'Ivoire).
The constitutional decision would therefore result simply illegal.
To this the President added that Ouattara Laurent Gbagbo's supporters being present in the IEC (Independent Electoral Commission), the results that it has proclaimed are indisputable.
Accordingly, and in response to proposals for a recount or third round, Mr. Ouattara is between a non-firm and final. His position is that elections have had under the right conditions and results which have proclaimed, there is no dispute. A position he sums up "The electoral process has ended. Laurent Gbagbo must go. "
In this press conference, it is clear that concessions Ouattara clan are possible but limited. Limited to President Gbagbo, and to a lesser extent his family, once it has left power. Alassane Ouattara and opts for a strong stance and does not give respite to Laurent Gbagbo knowing full well that he plays for time.
What next?
The question was on everyone's lips was: Will there be an armed intervention?
In the current situation, this option is not considered likely by President Ouattara. It would be considered only if end but did not clearly favors. And mention the leak of Laurent Gbagbo in 2000 in a car trunk to escape the dictatorship of General Guei and specify a new leak in this way would be for the opportunity for Gbagbo to cover the shame he deserves. Instead, therefore, Alassane Ouattara would opt instead for increased pressure on the clan Gbagbo by increasing the penalties targeted. This position is clearly reasonable to hope against the Gbagbo that focuses on indirect military action to endorse the status of martyr.
By refusing military intervention, Alassane Ouattara also aims to keep the support of the Ivorian people who, if military intervention would inevitably be the most affected. However, President Ouattara warned that officials would continue to work with the "ghost plan" of Laurent Gbagbo would be legally sanctioned and could lose their jobs.
Conclusion.
The current situation and complex and requires a special diplomatic skill. On the one hand, Laurent Gbagbo is trying to pose as a victim of the foreign policy of France and defender of Ivorian institutions. On the other, Alassane Ouattara maintains a firm position but does everything to avoid a bloodbath that would hurt its early mandate. He denounced the move as the climate of fear is ruling Laurent Gbagbo in the administration and the Ivorian population. If the situation seems hopeless, there are however a few cracks in the camp of Laurent Gbagbo. If the fall of the latter is far from assured, this signal may be the hope that crisis peacefully is possible.
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